January 16, 2026

Choppy Market Insights

Phil Albitz, CFP®
Phil 2026 01 12 at 10.51.52 AM

Happy New Year, everybody. I hope the year has started off well for you.

In this short video, I just wanted to make a few comments on what’s going on in the markets at the start of 2026, share a quote by Winston Churchill that I think is relevant, and then close with a nice email message we got from one of our clients.

Things have started off a little choppy, and that is to be expected with what is going on nationally and geopolitically. Things might feel a bit chaotic now, and maybe that’s what we can expect in the future. However, I don’t think it is a good idea to dwell on things that are out of our control. As the old adage goes, “A ruffled mind makes a restless pillow.” And we need our sleep.

Anyway, the first week in January has been good for the stock market. Many say, “As goes January, so goes the rest of the year.” Remember when people on the financial news channels were wearing hats that said Dow 10,000? Don’t look now, because we are pushing 50,000! Are we ripe for a pullback? Of course, that can happen for whatever reason. And conversely, the markets can go higher than you imagine.

When I hear pundits and the financial news telling you with great confidence how the stock market will do in the coming week, the coming month, or the coming year, I’m reminded of a quote by Winston Churchill talking about politicians. When Churchill was asked to describe the most valuable talent in a politician, he was said to reply, “It’s the ability to foretell what will happen in the future and to explain afterward why it didn’t happen.” He could have just as easily been talking about so-called market gurus.

Anyway, stick with quality and value in your investments. Dividends are good to get. Just don’t chase the highest yields; there is usually a reason the yields are high. Don’t just pay any price for a growth company. Keep a solid allocation percentage between stocks and fixed income in your investment portfolio. Your allocation is dependent upon your objectives and what gives you peace of mind.

I’m looking to 2026 with optimism and the firm confidence that there will be bumps along the way. In other words, just like every other year.

I’m going to close with this nice email I received from one of our clients that I wanted to share with you:

“2026 is going to be an interesting year for us all. I hope it turns out well for everyone in whatever way we each define that. For me, maintaining my status quo in health, friendships, economics, and the expertise you provide will be what I’m hoping for. And for everyone, I want good health, fulfillment, and a whole lot of peace in the world.”

I love the sentiment, and with that, I’m Phil Albitz. Thanks for watching.

The views stated in this letter are not necessarily the opinion of Cetera Wealth Services, LLC. Due to volatility within the markets mentioned, opinions are subject to change without notice. Information is based on sources believed to be reliable; however, their accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please keep your original official statement(s) in a safe, secure location. Cetera Wealth Services, LLC exclusively provides investment products and services through its representatives. Although Cetera does not provide tax or legal advice, or supervise tax, accounting or legal services, Cetera representatives may offer these services through their independent outside business. This information is not intended as tax or legal advice. Investors cannot invest directly in indexes. The performance of any index is not indicative of the performance of any investment and does not take into account the effects of inflation and the fees and expenses associated with investing.

Phil Albitz

CFP®

Phil Albitz is a veteran Financial Advisor and Chief Investment Portfolio Manager for our Greater Value Accounts. Phil is also a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER® and has been registered in the securities business since 1982. His strength is in stock market analysis, portfolio design, risk management and retirement income strategies. Phil works closely with our clients to help them meet their goals and objectives in a personal and professional manner. He is an avid sports fan and spent many years coaching his two sons, Clete and Vance, in basketball and baseball. In his free time, he enjoys playing with and watching his six grandchildren as they grow and mature. Phil was born and raised in Southern California and resides in Torrance with his wife, Velma. In 2024, they celebrated their 48th year of marriage.

Insights

Enjoy access to our continuously updated library of insights and educational resources.

Screenshot 2026 05

Timely Q & A

A lot of our clients want to know what is meant by the term parabolic rise in a stock price. A parabolic rise is best shown by this illustration.  You get a stock that’s basing, the price just stays stable, goes up and down a little bit, and then some news comes

Trapezemike grandparents 3018410

Understanding IRMAA: What It Is, What It Costs, and How to Appeal It with Form SSA-44

A comprehensive guide for Medicare beneficiaries and pre-retirees navigating the Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount What Is IRMAA? If you’re enrolled in Medicare and your income exceeds certain thresholds, you’re paying more for your coverage than most beneficiaries — possibly a lot more. The additional charge is called IRMAA, which stands for Income-Related

Tungart7 ai generated 8715598

Parental Down Payment Assistance: The Business of Structuring Gifts vs. Family Loans

Current data indicates a bifurcated reality for first-time home buyers: while many secure properties independently, high upfront capital requirements necessitate parental financial intervention for a large segment of the market. For parents with the means, providing down payment assistance is a significant way to facilitate this milestone. However, the mechanism of that